In 2020 we set out to build ‘HUM’, one of HolonIQ’s core computational engines. HUM is designed to build and benchmark real-time indices that measure the change in a group of individual data points, much like say the MSCI, FTSE, S&P100 or Dow Jones does for stocks. More generally, we set out to build indices that allowed us to track growth, performance, risk and health from different perspectives and ultimately provide predictive insights into social and economic trends.
We applied the first version of HUM to develop HolonIQ’s Global Impact and SDG Stock Indices. This set of indices measures the performance of nearly 1,500 stocks powering social and economic impact across 9 Impact sectors and 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This initial work also led to the development of the world’s first Education Technology and Digital Learning Index in partnership with Foxberry and subsequently, the world’s first ‘EdTech ETF’ or Exchange Traded Fund (LERN) in partnership with RIZE.
The COVID-19 pandemic has brought heightened awareness of how powerful education technology can be to support education delivery and learning, as well as offering a stark reminder of the digital divide and inequality of access that reliance on technology brings.
Through 2020, we saw the rapid acceleration of EdTech. We observed the digital reach of MOOC’s growing 2.5x through the first half of 2020 (at one point by approximately 300 million monthly visits globally), as isolated learners sought immediate solutions to their knowledge and skills needs amid a rapidly-evolving work landscape.
Through the second half of 2020, HolonIQ’s Data Science team further developed HUM to help us learn more about how Global EdTech’s digital reach was evolving. Below is a small selection of our first experimental insights.
Based on web-traffic reach estimates and leveraging our open-source Global Learning Landscape taxonomy, HUM now builds digital reach indices for core categories and clusters, statistically weighting the underlying performance of up to 100 top organizations per category in each index. For example, the MOOC Digital Reach Index provides insights into the weighted performance of 100 of the world’s top MOOCs. Not just Coursera, edX, FutureLearn et al, but the top 100 MOOCs around the world tracked by HolonIQ’s Global Intelligence Platform.
MOOCs started the last decade as a proof of concept and finished with 380 million students taking over 30 thousand courses and 50 degrees from over 1,000 Universities globally (almost all published MOOC research statistics ignore China, emerging markets, workforce focused MOOCs and the long tail of niche-platforms).
MOOC’s saw explosive growth through 2020, building on an already very strong 2018 and 2019. The borderless digital market for ‘just-in-time’ skills and knowledge is highly competitive and represents a rapidly evolving part of the post-secondary education landscape.
OPMs, or Online Program Managers, are companies that partner with universities to build, recruit for and deliver online programs. Revenue share is the dominant commercial model with fee for service and hybrid relationships growing. Universities are establishing public-private partnerships at a growing rate as the Higher Education model evolves, with the COVID pandemic accelerating the move to fully online learning.
Even before COVID, the online degree market was one of the fastest-growing segments of higher education globally, forecast to reach $74B by 2025. The pandemic has dramatically accelerated online delivery, including a rapid expansion of the university-OPM model, with 800+ universities engaging with OPM providers.
Although a smaller part of the higher education market, solutions for physical and mental wellbeing of students, staff and stakeholders are now in high demand, with the overall Wellness in Education category expected to grow at 25%+ CAGR through to 2025.
Wellness has been a cluster on HolonIQ’s Global Learning Landscape for several years and now counts over 350 organizations around the world dedicated to supporting learners, families, institutions and companies with physical and mental wellbeing.
COVID-19 has highlighted the need to provide digital solutions to support the health and wellbeing of students and staff, beyond traditional on-campus services. Telehealth, online counselling and support services, app-based wellness and peer-to-peer solutions have all seen a spike in demand.
The peer-to-peer knowledge exchange phenomenon is now embedded into learning and education, with platforms supporting educational Q&A structured by traditional content topics such as maths, science and history. Typically B2C solutions for students to share information with each other, for experts to support learners or a mix of the two, Q&A platforms have massive question-banks, supported by sophisticated search algorithms.
Digital Reach of Q&A platforms has seen a spike in the latter half of 2020 as student return to online studies and need support on a real-time basis. As online and hybrid learning becomes a more accepted mode of delivery in higher education, we are likely to see a greater uptake of Q&A platforms, as well as integrations of such technology into regular university services.
The Bootcamp model, which traditionally provides on-site, instructor-led intensive courses in tech subjects, has morphed and transitioned into online delivery and B2B segments. The bootcamp-university partnership model is now the fastest-growing academic public-private partnership segment. Universities around the world are under pressure with qualified funding from governments to offer short and fast, very high ROI, technology skills led and employer integrated programs.
Bootcamps have shifted rapidly through COVID to online, project-based learning platforms and are seeing the potential for B2B growth through partnerships with institutions and companies. Compared with other clusters, Bootcamps have historically had a low Digital Reach, given the face to face format, however 2020 has seen a consistent upswing in Digital Reach as the online bootcamp model takes hold.
The US OPX market will double by 2025. International markets will see almost 4x growth.
Our ‘Mid-COVID’ sizing update upgrades the outlook for Global Online Degrees and Micro-Credentials by $20B+.
This second webinar in our Higher Education Digital Transformation series examined the size, shape and potential future scenarios for micro and alternative credentials. The webinar is part of a 2021 HolonIQ series exploring new models, technologies and partnerships emerging in Higher Education.
The complete list of SPACs targeting companies working to build a more inclusive and sustainable future.