Education is a $5.8 trillion global industry, growing to $7.8 trillion by 2025 and approach $10 trillion by 2030. As the world’s population grows from 7.6 billion today, to an estimated 8.5 billion by 2030, governments are struggling to fund the traditional education system at historic levels. Student debt in the US now exceeds $1.5 trillion dollars and the price of textbooks and post-secondary tuition has inflated 200% over the last 20 years, twice as much as healthcare and four times house prices.
The growth of education as an industry, including privately held, public-private partnerships and education services from Pre K through to Corporate Training and Lifelong Learning is also apparent in the number and size of publicly listed education companies around the world.
Our ongoing research into global education stocks has now identified 250 education companies listed on stock exchanges around the world. The HolonIQ research team is finalising our latest Global Education Stocks Report for clients, which provides deeper analysis of the performance, segments and trends for this group of companies in education.
$67B Market Cap 37 companies
$51B Market Cap 40 companies
$23B Market Cap 11 companies
Market capitalization refers to the total dollar market value of a company’s outstanding shares. Commonly referred to as “market cap,” it is calculated by multiplying a company’s shares outstanding by the current market price of one share. The investment community uses this figure to determine a company’s size, as opposed to using sales or total asset figures.
The total market cap of all 250 education stocks is roughly $190B (on any given day). The largest company, TAL from China, is listed on the New York Stock Exchange and has a market cap of approx $20 billion, or just over 10% of all education stock market cap. Over 40 companies have a market cap over $1 billion, the average of all 250 companies is $766m and the median $98m.
37 companies headquartered in China have a total market cap of $67B. Language learning and after school tutoring giants TAL and New Oriental are the most well known listed Chinese companies, more recently joined by professional exam prep company Offcn.
There are 40 listed USA education companies based out of the USA with a market cap totalling $51B. Big names include pre-school provider Bright Horizons, learning resources provider Chegg, OPM company 2U and online university, Grand Canyon. 11 companies in the UK have a market cap of $23b led by publishing firms Informa and Pearson. Brazil and Japan follow with a total of 31 countries having listed education companies represented on stock exchanges around the world.
While many of the 250 companies operate across sectors, each has been classified into a primary sector where they generate most of their value. One third, or 83 companies are focused on K12 learning with a market cap of $58B, with a few giants dominating and many smaller companies. Post Secondary is more evenly spread with 70 companies and a market cap of $46B.
Publishing is represented by a small number of companies (15) with a high combined market cap of $34B, illustrating the consolidated mature state of that part of the sector. 35 Corporate education listed companies are valued at $26B, while 24 listed education companies in the ‘digital’ category have a total market cap of $15B. Of the 24 in the digital group, the top 10 by market cap include four learning management systems, two language learning and one each of education resources (digital content), OPM, Assessment and Education Management System.
Of the 5 Scenarios for Education in 2030, Education-as-Usual is least preferred but most likely according to 5000+ educators, entrepreneurs, leaders and investors from 30+ countries who have contributed to the Education in 2030 Project.
India is expected to overtake China as the largest country on earth by 2022 and grow to a population of about 1.5 billion by 2030. Education is set to become a powerful engine of the country’s economic growth and development.
HolonIQ’s Annual Report on the State of Artificial Intelligence in Global Education
806 executives from 63 countries report an overall positive short-term outlook for education but most expect sector disruption by 2025. Emerging markets expect the highest levels of short-term growth.